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Population Projections

Projected Total Population

 

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Projected total population by year
Projected Population Growth

 

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Projected annual population growth rate

Vision›

Mission›

Vision
Data Description

To maintain a sound accurate population growth model consistent with sound demographic projection principles for counties and jurisdictions within Arizona and the state as a whole.

Mission
Data Description
To provide reliable unbiased projections of future population growth and a single state repository for current population references enabling sound planning and decision making by government and private entities.
Download The Data
2022-2060 STATE AND COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS
Population projections are made for July 1 of each year in the projection period. In addition to the medium series that we deem as the most likely scenario, we also produced a low series and a high series. Please refer to the Projections Methodology section near the bottom of the page for assumptions and input data used for these alternative series.
SUMMARY TABLES
Projected total population for each year between 2022 and 2060 for the state, counties, the Phoenix Metro Area, the Tucson Metro Area, and Balance of State:
DETAIL TABLES
Projected total population, components of population change, population by sex and age group, population by sex and single year of age for age group 19 and younger, population by race and Hispanic origin:
ALL TABLES
2022-2060 Projections: All tables and documents in one zip file: Zipped All Files
2023-2060 SUB-COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS
Sub-county population projections are made for July 1 of each year. These are consistent with the 2022 medium series of county population projections. Please refer to the Projections Methodology section near the bottom of the page for details on the sub-county projections process.
2023-2060 Sub-County Population Projections
All Counties Excel
Projections Methodology
Arizona State and County Population Projections Methodology, 2022-2060 Arizona Population Projections 2022 Methodology Report
Low and High Series Input Data
Sub-County Projections Methodology
Projections Related Links
Census Bureau Projections [CENSUS.GOV]
Maricopa Association of Governments [AZMAG.GOV]
Pima Association of Governments [PAGREGION.COM]